New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo

New England Revolution head into this match having won 2, drawn 2, and lost 1 of their last 5 MLS games (WDWLD), scoring 7 and conceding 6 over that stretch.

Houston Dynamo head into this match having won 1, drawn 0, and lost 4 of their last 5 MLS games (WLLLL), scoring 3 and conceding 9 over that stretch.

This will be the first meeting between New England Revolution and Houston Dynamo in the data this model was trained on.

Form and H2H come from this league's historical match data — the same training inputs, not a separate estimate.

Scout-style context from squad stats, match history, and weather. It does not change the machine-learning probabilities shown below.

Squad by role

New England Revolution key roles this season — GK: Matt Turner; defence: Mamadou Fofana, Will Sands, Brayan Ceballos; midfield: Carles Gil, Alhassan Yusuf, Brooklyn Raines; wide attack: Peyton Miller, Luca Langoni, Griffin Yow; attack: Dor Turgeman, Leonardo Campana.

Houston Dynamo key roles this season — GK: Jonathan Bond; defence: Lawrence Ennali, Antônio Carlos, Felipe Andrade; midfield: Jack McGlynn, Agustín Bouzat, Héctor Herrera; wide attack: Guilherme, Mateusz Bogusz; attack: Ezequiel Ponce, Duncan McGuire, Ondrej Lingr.

Players mapped to team form

New England Revolution's attacking load sits mainly with Carles Gil, Dor Turgeman, Peyton Miller — while recent team form averages 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded per game — finishing has been clinical (goals above xG).

Houston Dynamo's attacking load sits mainly with Guilherme, Mateusz Bogusz, Jack McGlynn — while recent team form averages 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded per game — finishing has been clinical (goals above xG).

Home / away ground

New England Revolution at home recently: 6W 1D 1L (2.38 pts/game), scoring 12 and conceding 7.

Houston Dynamo on the road recently: 3W 1D 4L (1.25 pts/game).

Measured home advantage for New England Revolution: +0.54 points vs neutral baseline.

Multi-year player form

Dor Turgeman looks steady on xG/90 across 2 seasons on file.

Leonardo Campana looks falling on xG/90 across 5 seasons on file.

Peyton Miller looks rising on xG/90 across 3 seasons on file.

Luca Langoni looks rising on xG/90 across 3 seasons on file.

Griffin Yow looks steady on xG/90 across 2 seasons on file.

Carles Gil looks rising on xG/90 across 5 seasons on file.

Ezequiel Ponce looks falling on xG/90 across 3 seasons on file.

Duncan McGuire looks falling on xG/90 across 4 seasons on file.

Ondrej Lingr looks steady on xG/90 across 2 seasons on file.

Mateusz Bogusz looks rising on xG/90 across 3 seasons on file.

Jack McGlynn looks steady on xG/90 across 5 seasons on file.

Attack & counter

New England Revolution recent profile: balanced attack/defence (1.6 GF / 1.0 GA per game).

Houston Dynamo: balanced attack/defence (1.6 GF / 0.4 GA).

Shot quality treats off-target shots as half an on-target shot.

Squad changes (2025 → 2026)

New England Revolution lost 12 players vs last season on file; biggest departures by impact: Tomás Chancalay (contrib 8.58), Ignatius Ganago (contrib 8.39), Tanner Beason (contrib 4.27).

New England Revolution new faces include Brooklyn Raines, Griffin Yow, Ethan Kohler.

Houston Dynamo lost 19 players vs last season on file; biggest departures by impact: Griffin Dorsey (contrib 7.48), Amine Bassi (contrib 4.69), Franco Escobar (contrib 4.53).

Houston Dynamo new faces include Guilherme, Mateusz Bogusz, Agustín Bouzat.

Scout verdict

Scout synthesis: New England Revolution at home: 6W-1D-1L in last 8; Houston Dynamo away: 3W-1D-4L in last 8; New England Revolution missing departed contributors (Tomás Chancalay, Ignatius Ganago); New England Revolution adding Brooklyn Raines, Griffin Yow; Houston Dynamo missing departed contributors (Griffin Dorsey, Amine Bassi); Houston Dynamo adding Guilherme, Mateusz Bogusz. Model lean (unchanged by this scout note): New England Revolution.